Iceland’s woes continue apace: this morning Kaupthing, the country’s only remaining big bank, has been taken into state control, admitting that it can’t survive as an independent entity (and blaming the UK!). It follows the earlier nationalisation of Glitnir and Landsbanki, owner of Icesave, and is likely to escalate the government’s diplomatic woes. On Wednesday the Chancellor informed us that Iceland has refused to pay out compensation to Icesave savers, despite having previously promised to do so – so we’re now going to sue them for the money. Meanwhile our beleaguered MT reader – who as we reported on Tuesday has desperately been trying to get his money out – informs us that the £10,000 he’d transferred out on Monday has mysteriously reappeared in his Icesave account two days later…
There’s no doubt that this Icesave business will lead to a serious falling-out between the UK and Iceland governments. ‘The Icelandic government, believe it or not, have told me yesterday they have no intention of honouring their obligations’, a shocked Chancellor told reporters on Wednesday (today Kaupthing blamed this statement for its subsequent demise, which seems a bit disingenuous). The prime minister was equally sniffy, promising that the government would sue Iceland to get British savings back. (He’s also put into administration Kaupthing’s UK arm Kaputhing Singer & Friedlander, and transferred its £2.5bn retail deposits to ING Direct.) With retail savers up in arms, it’s also emerged that up to 20 UK local authorities had their funds in Iceland too – that’s up to £1bn of public money, and it isn’t even covered by any guarantee. And that's just the UK - the impact of Kaupthing's collapse (given it has assets of over $70bn) is likely to be felt around the world.
This posturing is all very well, of course – but the problem is that Iceland’s economy is clearly on its last legs. It admitted failure on Wednesday in its attempts to rescue Glitnir via nationalisation, and to prop up the krona by pegging it to the euro – and now Kaupthing has called it a day. So its currency is failing, its three biggest banks are in the hands of regulators, and the financial sector has combined debts of more than 12 times the entire Icelandic economy. Even if we sue them, how are they going to pay us? In cod?
To complicate things even further, it looks like Iceland will turn to Russia for a €4bn loan, protesting that its western neighbours have hung it out to dry. But it’s hard to muster too much sympathy: our reader informs us that £10k left his Icesave account on Tuesday (marked as ‘processed’) – and then reappeared yesterday with a ‘correction’ notice next to it. Clearly Icesave has no intention of shelling out a single penny, if it can avoid it. But at least Alistair Darling’s promise to ‘stand behind’ depositors means he should get his £17,000 back eventually; another MT reader tells us that his entire £400,000 life savings were stashed away with Icesave, most of which he will be lucky to see again…
We’re minded of the The Viking's Guide to Good Business, which is based on an old Nordic text and includes this pithy aphorism: 'Who are merchants? The finest men often enter this class. But much depends on whether you resemble those who are true merchants, or others who call themselves merchants but are actually swindlers or cheats and trade falsely.’ No prizes for guessing how UK savers would describe their Icelandic bank managers at the moment...
In today's bulletin:
Glimmer of hope for house prices
WH Smith fuels high street optimism
Iceland's frosty relations as Kaupthing falls
Editor's blog: Feeling Robbie's £1bn pain
MT's Little Ray of Sunshine: Google saves our email blushes